News

  Deutsche Bank’s Foreign Exchange (FX) team forecasts that the U.S. dollar will continue to appreciate against other major currencies through 2017. As this occurs, U.S. investors with international allocations may continue to see their returns eroded by the currency effect. In their white paper on the subject, they make a strong case for a long term cyclical  Read more ➝

As reported by Oxford World Financial Digest: Fortune magazine has run an engaging and enlightening article, written by market analysts, which argues that there are seven signs why oil prices will continue to drop. The first reason is that the world is flooded with oil. US production is near a thirty-two year high at near  Read more ➝

Regardless of your political stripes, this is a speech is worth watching.  It lays out the current state of affairs in the the Middle East in all its complexity and describes the risk of not getting the policies right in the region. As much as many of us in the US would like to divorce  Read more ➝

America’s economy is on a roll.  Don’t believe me, take a moment to read the Roar Eagle Roar issue of Bloomberg, including the article, America The Relatively Beautiful  CLICK HERE. Among other things the article states, “The U.S. economy has generated jobs at a pace of a quarter million per month over the past year”,  Read more ➝

Today, the Los Angels Times reported that “Employers added 257,000 net new jobs in January as hourly earnings increased’.  I expect that this information, along with low energy prices, rising housing prices and extremely low interest rates will likely be the catalyst for the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors to begin raising the discount rate  Read more ➝

The European Central Bank announced a monetary stimulus package that exceeded most economist’ expectations and may be just what the doctor ordered to bring life back to the European Union’s economy.  The Los Angeles Times reported (CLICK HERE to view article) that the ECB will enter into a bond buying program through September of 2016  Read more ➝

In the January 11, 2015 issue of the Los Angeles Times, Tom Petruno examines Wall Street’s latest “Worry Du Jour”, Deflation and provides ample evidence that deflationary fears are likely overdone. Although it is true that energy prices have recently fallen dramatically, healthcare and food costs have not followed.  Also, lower energy prices are usually  Read more ➝

In a recent LinkedIn post, Mohamaed El-Erian, Chair, Investment Advisory Committee at Microsoft, makes the case for lower oil prices for some time to come–the political and economic consequences of which could be dramatic.  CLICK HERE to view his post.